Showing posts with label Billings Gazette. Show all posts
Showing posts with label Billings Gazette. Show all posts

Wednesday, December 12, 2012

Redistricting the Montana legislature -- surprise... Democrats get much of what they want

There are some mixed messages in Mike Dennison's recent article on legislative redistricting. The headline reads that the GOP is "looking hard to beat." Yet that hardly describes the reality as outlined in the article itself.

It seems that what happened in the redistricting process is that the rural-urban divide favored by Republicans (and common sense) prevailed, so rural districts will not be diluted by urban precincts that tend to be more Democratic. On the other hand, it appears that districts within the cities themselves were drawn according to the principles of Democratic gerrymandering expert Joe Lamson. Lamson believes that districts should be drawn in such a way that give Democrats the best chance of winning control of the state legislature. At least he's honest about it.

What this means is that in a city like Billings, Democratic leaning precincts will be mixed in with Republican leaning precincts to create districts in such a way as to give Democrats the most winnable districts. Whether a legislator (of either party) who narrowly wins such districts can do a good job of representing all of his constituents is quite another question.

The Democrats also appeared to have won significant victories in the creation of Senate districts, since Dennison says that Republicans will have "42-47 relatively safe seats in the House, and another six or seven that clearly lean Republican... (while) Democrats can probably count on 32-39 House seats as safe, and another seven that lean Democratic." In the Senate, however, Republicans will have 21 safe seats, while Democrats have 19 or 20 safe seats. Translation: Senate districts have been created by often pairing Democratic House districts with Republican house districts in a way that gives Democrats an edge.

Republican member of the redistricting commission Jon Bennion has this to say:

“As the plan stands now, Republicans would certainly lose seats in the House, not because of their ideas or their candidates, but simply because of lines that were drawn based on political data and election results..."

While the gerrymandering was not as bold and in-your-face as it was 10 years ago, it appears that Democrats have again made significant gains with the help of the redistricting commission. The losers will again be those Montanans who find themselves thrown into districts where the lines were drawn to give Democrats a shot at winning, rather than according to principles of similar constituent interests.

The silver lining? Montana Republicans were dealt about as bad a hand in the last redistricting as possible -- and yet, in all but the 2004 election, they managed, through dint of sheer effort, to win control of one or both legislative bodies. Even the 2004 election was stolen from them by the Montana Supreme Court. It wasn't enough that the Supreme Court handed the redistricting commission to the Democratic Party -- they also had to step in and hand a decisive contested seat to the Democrats by fiat, under the most specious of reasoning.

In short, while Republicans have again been dealt an unfair hand in the current redistricting, they will have their destiny in their own hands. If they recruit strong candidates who work hard and smart -- both in campaigning and in serving their constituents in Helena, Republicans should be able to control the legislature more often than not. If Republicans act with (ahem) indiscretion in Helena and run candidates who are looney, lazy, or both, then Democratic governor Steve Bullock may soon have a Democratic legislature with whom he can partner to run the state into the ground...

Monday, December 10, 2012

New Great Falls projects may pull workers from the Bakken

According to a recent AP article, new projects are coming into the Great Falls area, intending to provide service to the oil sands of southern Canada.

The Great Falls area has the benefit of being close to the Canadian border -- as we were reminded a few years ago when a Calgary couple had to come to a Montana town of fewer than 60,000 inhabitants in order to have their quadruplets delivered -- another triumph of the Canadian health service over the inferior American one. Additionally, Great Falls is large enough to provide a labor force, unlike other towns on Montana's northern tier.

That's potential good news to Montana residents who have relocated to the Bakken oil extraction projects in North Dakota.

They're now inquiring about possibilities to work closer to home, said Sarah Converse, director of Sweetgrass Development, an economic organization for north-central Montana...

Commuting to the Bakken for work from places like Great Falls and Billings is no cup of tea for workers. The development of service industries closer to home will be a boon -- but of course such service jobs are dependent on continued growth in the oil fields themselves.

Wednesday, October 24, 2012

Gazette endorsement season ends with choice of Tester


Well, while my prediction that the Billings Gazette would endorse a Democrat in the governor's race was wrong, my prediction on what would happen in the most important race in Montana this election season wasn't.

It was an unsurprisingly full-throated endorsement, one that had some interesting features.

First of all, it was interesting that the same editorial board that had a lot of critical things to say about President Obama in its endorsement of Mitt Romney didn't at all address the fact that Sen. Tester has been a reliable, lockstep, vote for President Obama's policies.

Second, in its endorsement of Sen. Tester, there was this gratuitous swipe at the man the Gazette has endorsed in 5 consecutive Congressional races: "Sen. Jon Tester has accomplished more for Montana in his first term than Rep. Denny Rehberg has in twice that time." Um, maybe that is because Tester is one of 100 U.S. Senators, rather than one of 535 Congressmen? And did Sen. Tester accomplish more for Montana from 2006 to the present than did Sen. Conrad Burns, with his seniority and his seat on the Appropriations Committee, from 2000-2006? Somehow I doubt it. And yet that didn't keep the Gazette from endorsing an inexperienced challenger named Jon Tester in that race. There is a pattern here, and legislative results ain't it. You know your case is weak when you have to stoop to criticizing a Representative for not being as powerful as a Senator.

Third, there was no mention of Sen. Tester's deciding vote for Obamacare, the single most important piece of legislation that he encountered on his watch. If he did such a good job of "reaching across the aisle" and being a "moderate" as the editorial claims, one would think the editors would have to at least mention it and discuss why Sen. Tester's vote for Obamacare was representative of such qualities.

Fourth, there is not a single mention of traditional energy issues -- perhaps because Sen. Tester has been so ineffectual in persuading his own Democratic Party to adopt more moderate positions on oil, gas, and coal development. Forget working across the aisle -- Sen. Tester hasn't been able to provide leadership within his own party. This is no small matter, given that so much of Montana's reserve of energy lies under federal lands. Oil development has increased under Democratic rule, but only because it has taken place on privately owned land in North Dakota.

Fifth, there is no mention of Sen. Tester on the estate taxes that are about to take a bite out of Montana farming and ranching families, courtesy of Sen. Tester's party. This is probably because Sen. Tester's cynical introduction of a bill to prolong the Bush estate tax cuts was so, well, cynical. Please see the above reference to Sen. Tester being unable to provide leadership and exercise persuasion within his own party.

In summary, the Gazette's litany of reasons for voting for Sen. Tester seem to be little more than a list of minor pork projects and other votes that would be a no-brainer for any Montana Senator. Do the Gazette editors really believe that a Sen. Rehberg would have voted against small Montana banks, against Montana veterans, against small Montana agricultural producers, against wolf management, against saving small Montana post offices, etc.? Please.

And for a final thought: if this is the best that Sen. Tester can accomplish with his party in control of the U.S. Senate and the White House, what exactly will he get done if there is the President Mitt Romney that the Gazette editors claim to favor? What if the Republicans manage to take control of the Senate, as they have a good chance of doing? Will we see Sen. Tester "work across the aisle" and vote with Republicans to pass legislation, or will he be the same reliable Democratic vote he has been for the last 6 years, standing as part of a Democratic filibuster?

There may be valid reasons to choose to vote for Sen. Tester, but for the Gazette to cite an ability to work across the aisle as a closing argument for voting for a man who has voted 95% of the time with the most liberal Democratic President of the modern era seems disingenuous.

But then the Gazette's pattern of endorsements this season has seemed to defy reason -- and it's not just those of us on the right who think so.

Wednesday, October 17, 2012

Billings Gazette causes emergency room visits for coronaries to soar -- endorses Rick Hill

Well, shivver me timbers, but I was wrong. Big time. Last week I predicted Gazette endorsements for Democrats in both of our high-profile races in Montana (for governor and U.S. Senate.) That prediction was based on past endorsement patterns and what has seemed like general editorial attitudes that lean toward AG Bullock and Sen. Tester (and against former Cong. Hill and current Cong. Rehberg.)

But the Gazette endorsed Rick Hill, shocking me, and doubtless many others. (The headline is, of course, a joke -- but there must have been more than a few stunned Republicans staggering around on Sunday morning -- and Democrats having chest pain from sudden attacks of heartburn.)

It isn't the first time I've been wrong and won't be the last. I'm happy to be wrong in this way (just as I will be happy if it turns out that I'm wrong that Gov. Romney was always destined to be a sure general election loser -- I'm actually beginning to believe that there is an outside chance at sanity prevailing in the Presidential race.)

The Gazette endorsement was far from a tepid one. In fact it was downright enthusiastic, which made it all the more remarkable. Just as with other GOP endorsements in this electoral season, the prose doesn't read to me quite like most Gazette editorials. The Romney endorsement in particular was so unlike most Gazette editorials that I wondered aloud to the beloved over breakfast whether the publisher had written it himself rather than having one of the editors write it. But maybe it's more in how I'm reading things than in how they were written...

The cynical, tinfoil-hat-wearing gnome sitting on my left shoulder whispers in my ear that this is a sign that polling data is looking even more favorable for Hill and other Republicans in Montana than we may have thought. Are we looking at a comfortable 6 or 7 point spread for Hill in November? Let's hope so. The pocket-protector wearing gnome on my right shoulder whispers in my ear that I need to stop being paranoid and stop imagining that there are gnomes on my shoulders whispering contradictory things to me.

Anyway, I am now doubling down on my prediction that the Gazette will hold true to its Democratic convictions in the most important race of the season in Montana and endorse Sen. Tester. If I am wrong, I will happily (exuberantly, even) publish a post entitled "I WAS REALLY, REALLY WRONG," and even begin cautiously to harbor hopes that a new editorial endorsement era has arrived...

Monday, October 15, 2012

Coal state Democrats -- does Montana follow the pattern?

A lot of coal state Democrats are running from President Obama and his stances, which can only be reasonably described as hostile to the coal industry.

Some (but by no means all) high-profile Montana Democrats have not tended to follow that example. Gubernatorial candidate Steve Bullock has broken with his fellow Democrats on the land board on a number of occasions, voting against coal development. Senator Tester has likewise been pretty quiet about President Obama's EPA, and indeed has doubled down in defending EPA policies that other coal-state Democrats have condemned as unreasonable. As we noted before in our "between a frack and a hard place" piece, one plausible explanation for Montana Democrats being timid about going all out for coal is matter of just who is writing the checks to their campaigns.

As a Charles Johnson article noted today, Steve Bullock's lead in fundraising this cycle is completely a function of his high percentage of out-of-state donors. As always, Johnson's article is good, straight reporting. It is interesting that the Helena Independent Record's headline emphasizes Bullock's money lead, whereas the Billings Gazette headline emphasizes the fact that his lead results from out-of-state money. Given that the Gazette caused near-coronary events in Republican households across their readership area by endorsing Republican Rick Hill in Sunday's paper (is Hill poised for a more comfortable victory than we have been led to believe?), perhaps this headline is meant to give a little justification for that endorsement.

Getting back to money, Bullock's lead in fundraising demonstrates just how a dependence on out-of-state money puts Democrats in red states like Montana in a bind. Public sentiment is strongly in favor of natural resource development here in Montana -- and not just with Republicans.

And yet, when red state Democrats toe the environmentalist line insufficiently, they run the risk of losing all of that out-of-state money from liberal activists around the country who want some return on their investment.

Red state Republicans and blue state Democrats have no such conflict: any out-of-state conservative donor, for instance, will tend to have similar concerns as the average (right-of-center) Montanan on things like energy development.

Wednesday, October 10, 2012

Billings Gazette predicts big Steve Daines win -- (i.e. they endorsed him)

It was gratifying to read in the Billings Gazette that Steve Daines is headed for a lop-sided victory in the race for Montana’s lone seat in the U.S. Congress. Of course, it wasn’t worded in quite that way. What the Gazette editors actually did was to endorse Daines.

For those unfamiliar with how the Gazette operates when it comes to political endorsements, here is a quick summary:

1. The editors endorse Democrats in any competitive race that matters.

2. There will usually be one token Republican whom they endorse, just to give an appearance of fairness. That way, no one can justly say that they never endorse Republicans. They might even endorse two, if one of them involves only token Democratic opposition.

3. If a race is going to be close, the endorsement goes to the Democrat.

4. If a race is going to be a blowout, one way or the other (mainly if a Republican is going to blow out the Democrat), they will usually endorse the Republican -- after all, there is nothing at stake.

5. If a Republican is an incumbent and is likely to win, then that candidate has an especially good chance of getting to be the token Republican.

So far, the Gazette has endorsed the Democrat in Montana's Attorney General race, Secretary of State race, State Auditor race, and State Superintendent race. That’s four out of the 5 state Land Board seats. It is unthinkable that the Gazette would endorse anyone but Steve Bullock for governor, given how close that race is shaping up to be, so that means the Gazette will go five for five for Democrats on Land Board races. To direct a little extra kick in the Republican direction, the Gazette endorsed the Democrat in our region’s PSC race.

The editors chose to endorse Brad Johnson against Linda McCulloch 4 years ago but are endorsing McCulloch this time against Johnson. Fortunately, the Democrats gave them the talking points they needed for their switch. Granted, it wasn’t much of an endorsement for Johnson in 2008 -- here is how I described it 4 years ago:

...the Billings Gazette endorsed Democrats in 5 of the 6 competitive statewide races this election season, and saved its most tepid "well if we have to say it we suppose there's no real reason to vote against him so OK go ahead if you really feel you need to maybe" endorsement for the lone Republican they endorsed -- Brad Johnson... (Incidentally, I enjoyed the discussion after that post, in no small part because a commenter suggested that the Gazette hire me as their token local conservative columnist!)

In addition, it is unthinkable that the Gazette would do other than to endorse Jon Tester in the barnburner of a Senate race that we have here in Montana, especially since Democratic control of the U.S. Senate could be at stake.

So, Steve Daines was the last Republican standing, and thus got the Gazette’s endorsement. He, to recap the opening of this piece, was the logical candidate to be the token Republican, since he is likely to win the race handily. The Gazette really wouldn’t be able to change the trajectory of the race by endorsing his opponent, and furthermore since control of the House is comfortably in Republican hands, the only danger that Daines really poses to Democrats in Montana is that he will be virtually impossible to displace and will be a formidable future candidate for the Senate or the governorship.

It had to be painful for the editors to endorse a rising GOP star like Daines, but then, there is plenty of time to take him down in the future -- for now, he gets to be the Gazette’s token Republican for 2012. And it seems clear that he will be the lone Republican endorsed in the 8 major races in which Gazette readers will be voting. (The endorsement for U.S. President could possibly go to Romney -- again, since Romney will carry Montana handily, this would be a harmless GOP endorsement in a non-competitive race for the Gazette.)

Update: This post was written earlier and was scheduled to post in the wee hours this morning. And indeed, when I woke up this morning, there was a Romney endorsement in the Gazette.

Which brings us back to the Rehberg-Tester race. By my count, the Gazette editors have endorsed Rehberg in 5 consecutive Congressional races. Rehberg is furthermore a Billings guy. You’d think that would count for something at a paper called the Billings Gazette, but you should ask former Sen. Conrad Burns how that theory works out in practice once you are in a competitive race against a Democrat.

As we pointed out in a piece 5 years ago, Rehberg has indeed been endorsed repeatedly by the Gazette, but not when the race is competitive. His one competitive House race was in 2000, and that year, the Gazette endorsed his Democratic opponent.

Naturally.

And that is exactly what we should expect again this year.

Wednesday, September 5, 2012

Sen. Jon Tester promises to push for balanced budget -- after the election (when he has more flexibility?)


Sen. Jon Tester made a bit of a splash with the help of an unsurprisingly uncritical print media, saying that his "biggest priority after re-election would be to push a bipartisan balanced budget solution that has so far languished in Congress."

Just out of curiosity, I did a search of the archives of the Billings Gazette from January 1, 2007 (around the time Tester took office) until January 1, 2011 (when the Montana Democratic playbook dictates that their U.S. Senate candidates are to be transformed into sounding like conservative Republicans for the final two years of their term.) The search was for "Jon Tester balanced budget."

I did not find a single news report that detailed Sen. Tester's labors to balance the federal budget. Given that Sen. Tester votes with President Obama close to 100% of the time and given that President Obama has broken the bank with unprecedented increases of debt, this was hardly surprising. Something may have slipped past me, but one would expect that Sen. Tester's "biggest priority" would have shown up many times during those first four glorious years after taking office -- and surely from 2008 - 2010 when Democrats controlled all branches of the federal government?

It is important to note that the words "balanced budget" are today code words for "tax increases" in the Democratic lexicon, so even Sen. Tester's election year (re)conversion to the cause of fiscal austerity should be taken with a grain of salt.

The political point to note is that for years, it was only Republicans who (officially, anyway) called for a balanced federal budget -- it was Democrats who openly advocated for Keynesian deficit spending (with a devilish twist -- unlike Keynes, they have advocated for just as much deficit spending in good economic times as in bad.)

So from a political point of view, calling for a balanced budget makes a Democrat sound a bit like, well, a Republican -- especially if you don't read the find print. And sounding like a Republican in the year or two before an election is precisely what Democrats running for the U.S. Senate in Montana specialize in.

We'll see if Montana voters buy into Sen. Tester's game this election. They've bought into it from Sen. Baucus for decades, so Sen. Tester is hardly foolish to give it a whirl.

Wednesday, August 8, 2012

Conflict between farmers and fiscal conservatives is overblown


There has long been a tension over farm subsidies within the conservative world. On the one hand, subsidizing anything is contrary to most conservative principles about how markets work -- or should work. On the other hand, farmers and ranchers tend to be generally very conservative in their politics -- and a pretty reliable Republican voting bloc.

Those who make their living in agriculture understand that the most important voice they have is in their U.S. Senators, since each state, no matter how sparsely populated, gets the same two votes. Farm state Senators have consistently been the difference-makers when it comes to providing government support for agriculture, sometimes in way that is healthy for the industry and the nation -- and sometimes not (think boondoggle corn ethanol subsidies.) Their elections often depend on how they are viewed by the farmers and ranchers in their states, a situation that isn't true in states with large urban populations. It isn't that there is an absence of agriculture going on in places like New York and Illinois -- far from it. It's just that the numbers of voters who have a connection to agriculture are a drop in the bucket compared to the immense urban populations found in those states.

The story, however, isn't as simple as fiscal absolutists in the Republican Party would like to make it. Farmers benefit from subsidies, but the ultimate beneficiaries are the food-buying public. For decades, the U.S. government has pursued "cheap food" policies and subsidies were a part of that, as were "get big or get out" policies that favored industrialized farming. Additionally, the entire financial and pricing structure of agriculture has developed around such subsidies. I've yet to meet a farmer or rancher who benefits from some sort of government assistance who hasn't said he would prefer to get that money in the form of higher commodity prices or lower operating costs. But subsidies can't be eliminated precipitously without massive disruptions for farmers and ranchers -- especially smaller operations that can't absorb sudden changes in the status quo.

In addition, the benefits are hardly distributed equally. Some agricultural products receive massive subsidies, while other receive none. Traditionally, agricultural subsidies are based on the scale of production, which means that a very small number of extremely large corporate operations receive the lion's share of government checks.

Tom Lutey's recent Gazette article thus does point up conflicts that do exist, but it is highly doubtful whether this internecine warfare will lead to any lasting political effects, no matter how much some would love for this to be so. While it probably wasn't Lutey's intent, at points his article reads like a cowboy boot-wearing Big Sky version of What's the Matter with Kansas?.

One hopes that debate over the "the farm bill" will lead to more fairness in how subsidies are distributed, eliminating some of the worst offenders in past farm bills. (The amount of the subsidies for corn, for instance, is mind-boggling.)

Besides cheap food policies, other things that need to be taken into consideration are subsidies provided by competitor nations to their farmers -- some subsidies in the U.S. are simply aimed at leveling the playing field. Since having a reliable and adequate source of food is a matter of vital national concern -- even national security -- this is a legitimate role for the government (although it would make more sense if tariffs on imports were the method used to level the playing field rather than subsidies -- another hot topic for another time.)

We suspect that any hopes Democrats have of exploiting any disagreement between conservatives in agriculture and conservatives elsewhere will prove ephemeral. If anything has been shown over the decades, it is that people vote for a broad variety of reasons, and naked economic interest is rarely the deciding point, especially for conservatives. The modern Democratic Party may be good at borrowing money and writing out checks to purchase voting blocs, but for the most part it has become an increasingly alien entity to rural America -- urban, coastal, secular, and hostile to an old-fashioned sense of America.

It is an America that we have all lost, no matter where we live, but while the modern Democratic Party embraces with glee the loss it helped to create, rural and small-town America tends to have a sense of sadness and nostalgia at the loss, and no farm subsidy payment is ever going to make up for it.

* * * * *

Full disclosure: I receive a small direct government payment for some wheat fields that I have. I also have land in the Conservation Reserve Program (CRP) for which I receive government payments. That program has allowed me -- like my father before me -- to put marginal farm ground back into native grasses.

Monday, August 6, 2012

Billings company moves into the Canadian oil sands market


It has been three years since Ed Kemmick wrote his fantastic series of pieces for the Billings Gazette on the explosion of activity in the Alberta oil sands.

At the time, he noted that there was a downturn in what had been an expected jump in activity in Billings to service that particular oil boom. Now, however, signs point to a resurgence of business here.

In a recent Gazette article, Tom Howard reports that "a Texas company involved in a high-stakes plan to provide equipment used in developing the Canadian oil sands is counting on its Billings manufacturing plant to get the work done on time and under budget." The project's international dimension adds to its exotic panache, going beyond the obvious benefits of its 200 Billings employees (with a predicted 50 more to follow shortly.)

Indicative of the kinds of long-term vision and risk involved in such a venture, in 2008 Bay Ltd. purchased a former Holland loader manufacturing facility in Billings, converting it to make large and complex "modules" that are used in extracting oil from the Canadian sands. We realize that they "didn't build that," but for the moment, lets humor the company by pretending that it did have something to do with it.

But Bay Ltd.’s Billings venture doesn’t come without risk. The company is awaiting approval from the Montana Department of Transportation to transport the big loads along Montana highways to the Canadian border. The modules are 24 feet wide, up to 25 feet tall, up to 120 feet long and weigh up to 156 metric tons.

Luhan said Bay Ltd. is working with 10 power companies to arrange moving power lines to accommodate the large loads as they head north. More than 470 power lines have to be moved. Once the loads cross the international border, it will be easy transport because the Canadian government has developed a “high and wide” corridor to accommodate large loads, Bay Ltd. officials said.

And there are further flies in the ointment: the shop is non-unionized, which has local unions upset rather than happy for the blokes who have found good jobs in this economy. We suppose we can expect the unions to use their political clout to try to make approval for the above logistical issues more difficult. But such hardball would probably run the risk of backfiring in the court of public opinion, which likes it when jobs are created.

Perhaps the most important quotation in the piece was this, however:

Rick Leuthold, director of business development for Sanderson Stewart, a Billings-based engineering company, said the manufacturing processes used by Bay Ltd. could translate into new industries that serve communities involved in energy development.

This is the operative concept -- successful businesses attract and inspire more of the same. Photos in the article show Montana GOP legislators touring the facility -- one hopes that they come away with ideas for how Montana can create a healthy business climate that encourages more manufacturing concerns like this one.

Wednesday, August 1, 2012

What’s fair in death -- and in death taxes? (Hint: check with Governor Schweitzer and Senator Tester)

We all know that the only sure things in life are death and taxes, but that doesn’t mean that anyone stops trying to find loopholes to avoid both.

In an interesting op-ed in the Kalispell Daily Interlake, the editors take a cane to Montana Governor Brian Schweitzer for his expressing sympathy for the fate of Ron Smith, on death row for the murder of two young Native American men in 1982. According to the editorial, the governor may use his power as governor in these waning months of his administration to reduce Smith’s penalty to life in prison (Smith originally sought the death penalty for himself but has subsequently had second thoughts.)

The editors conclude:

The governor was quoted as saying in the Associated Press story last week that he keeps “coming back to this question of what is fair” and said “I don’t know what is fair.”

If that is really true, then the governor isn’t in any position to make a judgment of this importance. And if he finally does come to realize what is fair, then Ron Smith will have to accept his fate at the executioner’s hand just the way he forced Thomas Running Rabbit Jr. and Harvey Mad Man Jr. to accept theirs.

They have a compelling point -- by any reasonable standard, someone who willfully deprives another of his life has forfeited any right to his own. The state may choose not to deprive him of it, but he can’t claim to have a “right” to live. Pretty much the entirety of the human experience would seem to agree with this viewpoint. The Christian tradition in the West introduced concepts of mercy and forgiveness to what had been a much harsher punitive landscape, but it has always acknowledged the right of civil authority to use the death penalty, even while it has urged restraint in its use.

As I wrote some years ago, I personally oppose the death penalty for a number of reasons, but in keeping with that Christian tradition, I also believe strongly that the civil authority is not acting immorally when it decides that it is necessary. Most importantly, the power of pardon should not be used to keep the death penalty from being implemented -- if you want to remove the death penalty from the list of punishments available to Montana’s juries and judges, use the legislative process, not a stroke of a governor's pen.

The right of kings to grant pardons and to commute sentences is as old as civil society. It is a part of that set of Burkean “prescriptions and prejudices” -- i.e. traditions that have developed over centuries to meet a society’s needs. That royal privilege of granting pardons has carried through into Anglo-American traditions of common law and constitutional law, and is exercised by our heads of state -- the President and the 50 state governors.

While we might disagree with particular pardons by presidents and governors, it is an important safety valve for any humane society to have one man (I use the word in its inclusive sense) holding the power to correct miscarriages of justice that slip through our system of laws and courts -- a system that is the best the world has seen and yet is imperfect because we humans are imperfect.

Was there a miscarriage of justice in this particular case? That is the question the governor must ask himself after examining all of the evidence. How Governor Schweitzer exercises the royal privilege he holds lies on his conscience, and his alone.

* * * * *

And now for taxes -- specifically death taxes. We read that Senator Jon Tester has belatedly co-sponsored a stand-alone bill to exempt farmers and ranchers from the massive increase in estate taxes that will kick in once he and Senator Baucus and the rest of the Democrats in the U.S. Senate allow the Bush tax cuts to expire.

We will leave aside discussion of an obvious question: why should a family farm or ranch be protected from having the state confiscate its assets upon the owner’s death, while other kinds of family businesses are beneath Sen. Tester’s notice?

Moving on, though, this is of course a naked act of self-preservation by Sen. Tester in a rural state like Montana. It might even seem laudable, but really, it doesn’t reflect well on Tester at all.

Montana Farm Bureau Federation President Bob Hanson nailed the issue on the head when he said the following:

"I hope it passes because it’s what needs to be done,” Hanson said. “But if it needs to be done, why wasn’t it in the first bill?"

Indeed. It isn’t like it was some state secret that President Obama intended to let the Bush tax cuts expire, and that Montana farmers and ranchers would find their land in jeopardy as a result. As a U.S. Senator from a rural state (and one who trumpets his farming credentials far and wide, no less), Tester should have been all over this from the start -- which was four years ago, when Obama was elected President. We’re only hearing about this now?

By all rights, as a self-proclaimed advocate for agriculture and “the only farmer in the U.S. Senate," Tester should have been providing leadership, both working behind the scenes and publicly using his bully pulpit, to make sure it would never come to this point -- where at the 11th hour, a quick-fix stand-alone bill has to be rushed into consideration to keep farmers and ranchers from having their family land devastated by confiscatory estate taxes.

It’s only been 6 years, but it seems that Sen. Tester has already been in Washington too long.

Wednesday, July 11, 2012

The Montana Wolf Trap

Update: The Montana FWP Commission approved the new regulations as proposed in a unanimous vote (one member abstained for reasons that weren’t given). They are to be commended for not bowing to pressure from a vocal minority.

One important item that deserves attention is found at the end of the article, where a member of the Montana Trapping Association warned about the importance of proper training and education. As the thoughts below indicate, exempting wolves from trapping on the basis of it being “barbaric” would be harmful to trapping in general in Montana.

At the same time, this is not a place for inexperienced amateurs to decide to give wolf-trapping a whirl. Trapping is a skill and an art that one must be taught. Poor trapping practices on the part of wolf trappers could also harm trapping in Montana, and we don’t need that.

___________________

Where would Montana politics be without a little lupine-driven controversy? According to an article in this week’s Billings Gazette, the proposed guidelines for this year’s wolf season have generated 6500 comments, compared to last year’s 1500. Driving the added interest this year is that trapping has been added to the wolf control arsenal.

In spite of the fact that Montana hunters were unable to reach last year’s quota of 220 wolf kills, and in spite of the fact that Montana’s wolf population has more than doubled in the last 7 years, there are still those who are protesting the hunts as “too extreme.” According to an article some time back in the Billings Gazette, some of those at a public meeting on wolf hunting and trapping believe that all trapping is “inhumane and uncivilized,” while the more recent Gazette article notes that opponents called trapping “cruel and morally wrong." Commenters at the public meeting also protested that Montana wolf trappers would only have to check their traps every 48 hours, whereas government trappers reportedly check theirs at least once a day.

Perhaps they would do well to review state furbearer regulations, in which 48 hours monitoring is the standard for all trapping in Montana -- why would the regulations for trapping wolves be any different from that used for trapping mink or bobcats? Furthermore, government trappers can carry on their business without regard to cost, since they are on salary. Almost certainly, if the protesters would like to pay private Montana trappers to check their traps twice as often as currently required, they would likely be more than happy to oblige. Perhaps those at the meeting would like to start a foundation and contribute their own money?

It goes without saying that trapping seems uncivilized to many in today’s urbanized world, but given that it has probably been practiced in every civilization since the time that word became a concept, we would point out that what is “civilized” is a relative concept, something any good multiculturalist would understand. Some of the same people who consider trapping barbaric probably also consider aborting humans to be a normal part of civilized life, just as it once was during a pre-Christian Roman civilization. One can be quite certain that not too far in the future, there will be civilized folks who look at the tics and spasms of 21st century first world behavior and wonder what on earth we were thinking and doing about this or that.

My father, like others who grew up during the Great Depression, was dirt poor. He loved music and wanted badly to buy a guitar, and there weren't many ways for a kid to earn money. So he trapped skunks, which were in plentiful supply and for which there was a market. It was worth dealing with the smell to trap and skin them, earning two bits a piece for each pelt, as I recall. He finally got enough money together that he could buy a cheap mail-order guitar -- the same one on which I learned to play my first chords, and which still hangs on the wall at the ranch.

While it is now about 35 years ago, I also remember trapping (for me, it was red fox) while a kid to make some spare cash myself, using the money to buy my first shotgun. Trapping was a part of rural life, just as it is for many trappers in Montana today. If there was such a thing as a license, I never heard of anyone ever getting one. Anything we trapped on the high plains was by law a predator or a varmint, so I doubt anyone would have cared.

I met a girl a few years ago who earned spending money by trapping along the Yellowstone River in Eastern Montana. At some point, I realized that I was probably one of the few “city-folk” she had met who understood the pride she took in having learned to trap from her father, just as I had learned from mine. I understood the pride she took in her work and in the degree of self-sufficiency she earned from selling the fur. It was only when I spoke of my own youthful trapping days that she started to open up and talk about it, and I saw her face light up as she talked animatedly about her love of tramping through the woods along the river, checking her trap line.

I also realized how long it had been since I myself had talked to someone to whom I could confess my secret past life as a (short-lived and not particularly skilled) amateur trapper, let alone someone who would understand that particular call of the wild (think Swiftwater.) I have no interest in trapping today and frankly I am now citified enough that unlike a 10 or 12 year-old me, I would now probably get a little queasy at the sight of an animal in a trap I had set, but I wouldn’t want to deny the experience or the income to anyone. Certainly I utterly reject the idea that trapping livestock predators is barbaric and unacceptable.

We are unlikely to see wolf supporters offer to pay the expenses of civilian trappers for checking traps daily, and even if they did, such offers would likely end up the same as promises by environmentalist groups to reimburse stockmen for livestock losses due to wolf predation. Those quickly vanished into the thin air of empty promises, as we knew they would once the wolf proponents got what they wanted. Back in the old days, such things were given a much simpler name: lies.

A little honesty would be appreciated on these matters, but we shouldn’t hold our breath waiting for it. The agenda is not that the opponents are fine with traps checked every 24 hours but scandalized with those checked every 48. It isn’t that it is fine with them to have 100 wolves harvested but not 200. The point is rather to throw up every possible roadblock to the control of wolf populations. If Montana is able to come up with a hunting and trapping plan that will actually keep wolf numbers down to a reasonable, self-sustaining population level with wolves that are largely restricted to wilderness areas, that would be a terrible blow to what wolf proponents seem actually to want, which is an ever-expanding population of wolves with an ever-expanding range.

Many of us who opposed wolf reintroduction did so not because we had any desire to see wolves go extinct (which given the Alaskan and Canadian populations wasn’t going to happen anyway) but because we knew that regardless of promises, wolf proponents would fight tooth and nail against controlling wolf numbers and against the right of ranchers to protect their livestock and to be made whole for their losses. We have not been wrong.

Wolves have proven themselves to be very resilient and aggressive, which comes as no surprise to the descendants of those who originally spent decades working to eliminate them as threats to their livestock and the civilization that livestock represented. What is becoming clear is that even with hunting seasons set as they were last year, wolf numbers are going to continue to grow rapidly. The numbers of wolves allowed to be harvested is already below what is needed to keep populations static -- hampering hunting and trapping to a degree that quotas can’t be filled will only make the situation worse.

While there are probably ranchers who want wolves completely eradicated from Montana, I haven’t met any. It is, truth to be told, kind of nice to have wolves in our wild places again. What is desirable, however, is for wolf numbers to be kept to a minimum and in wilderness areas. Achieving such goals requires flexibility in hunting and trapping, and this week’s Gazette article notes that Idaho has done a much better job at this than has Montana, although the FWP seems to be making a good faith effort to come up with guidelines that will result in a larger wolf harvest. Aggressive hunting combined with freeing up ranchers to shoot wolves on sight would make it more likely that packs will stay in wilderness areas and that they will associate populated areas with danger. Speaking of aggressive hunting, legalize wolf-hunting with Borzoi or Irish Wolfhounds, anyone?

Those who want ranchers to have the ability to protect their livestock effectively from predation and those who want elk hunting to remain a Montana tradition need to be prepared for this struggle to continue. If wolf populations and the range they cover continue to grow in spite of new hunting and trapping regulations, as we suspect they will, Montana’s wolf quota will need to increase significantly, and regulations will again need to be adjusted to make sure those quotas are met. The FWP is having another meeting Thursday, July 12, so now is the time to make one’s voice heard.

Montanans need to understand that opposition to trapping wolves is at this point just a surrogate for opposing the control of wolf numbers. If the FWP is pressured into dropping the trapping provisions, furthermore, there is no logical reason why all trapping in Montana won’t be on the chopping block next. It’s sort of a wolf trap... trap.

Monday, June 18, 2012

Nance Resources and Gas to Green -- a Billings success story in the Bakken

It's Monday, and time for a trip back to the Bakken -- via Billings.

Most of the attention in the Bakken oil boom is rightly on the oil itself -- how many barrels, how many new wells, how many millions of dollars in direct oil revenue.

Some of the things to watch, however, are the businesses that provide support and those that find other opportunities to meet needs as they develop.

In a great article by Jan Falstad in the Billings Gazette, we learn that Brian Cebull, head of Nance Resources in Billings, noted that a lot of natural gas was being wasted in burn-off from North Dakota oil wells not yet connected by natural gas pipelines. Natural gas is a byproduct of oil drilling, and amazingly enough in the early years of drilling, it was just burned off as it came out of the ground and was treated as a nuisance waste product. Today, of course, energy companies have learned to harness this "waste," and 20% of all electricity generated in the U.S. now comes from power plants fueled by natural gas.

Working with his wife, Amy Cebull, Brian Cebull has formed a new corporation called "Gas to Green" (or G2G) that applies existing technology in order to harvest natural gas at its source at wells in the Bakken, gas that currently is not only going to waste but is also producing pollution by being burned off. Falstad notes that up to a third of North Dakota natural gas is being burned off at present. Cebull's service is to capture that gas for the oil producer, who can then transport and sell the gas. As Falstad describes it,

The company installs what is basically a mini-natural gas plant in a trailer that can be hauled out to an oil well to capture, liquefy and store gas emissions.

This is the sort of beautiful win-win situation of the free market at its best. The oil producer simultaneously disposes of gas waste and gets another product to sell. Cebull's company makes money and creates jobs by providing the service. The public gets cleaner air, and for whatever it is worth, as a bonus carbon emissions are reduced (natural gas is the cleanest burning of fossil fuels.) The energy consumer gets more natural gas, which increases supply and helps keep prices down. The company that manufactures the equipment makes more money and creates jobs (G2G has contracted with them to add two new units a month.)

All in all, it appears to be a success story in the making. As a final note, Falstad is one of the "must-read" writers at the Billings Gazette. Her reporting on local and regional business is superb, and she rarely fails to ferret out and highlight the many fascinating entrepreneurial activities going on in this town. The places where we live inevitably have more interesting things going on than we realize. Falstad lifts the hood and gives us a peek at what makes our local economy hum.

Wednesday, May 30, 2012

Wall Street Journal: Sen Jon Tester "asleep at the switch" and "needs to go?”

It’s Wednesday -- time for a little Montana politics:

Sen. John Tester recently waxed eloquent to the editorial board of the Billings Gazette about the Commodity Futures Trading Commission (CFTC) and its role in the MF Global scandal. MF Global went bust, losing $1.6 billion of OPM (other people’s money,) including money owed to a lot of Montana farmers and ranchers, who are understandably not amused.

Sen. Tester, who is up for re-election this year, was quick to demand that heads roll at the CFTC:

“CFTC was asleep at the switch. They were in the building when all that stuff went on, too. Maybe Gary Gensler needs to go,” Tester said.

He also had instructions for law enforcement officials:

“From what I know about the issue, it’s pretty straight-forward. People need to go to jail over it,” Tester said.

The Gazette article not only faithfully reported Tester’s professed outrage, it even copied his verbage -- verbatim -- later in the story: "Gensler has been accused of being asleep at the switch while accounts that should have been regulated were drained by MF Global.” What? Experienced journalists can’t think of a new metaphor for “asleep at the switch?” Not even “asleep at the wheel,” or “sleeping on the job,” or something? And as a question for Sen. Tester, is the switch that the CFTC was asleep at really “in the building?” Isn’t this a railroad metaphor?

Yes, yes, we are being nit-picky, churlish even, especially since Tom Lutey is a good reporter. But our sniping is in the service of a greater cause. While we might not be surprised at Sen. Tester mixing metaphors, it is more than a little embarrassing that the Gazette simply regurgitated Tester’s points and language without asking any deeper questions. For that, we need the Wall Street Journal, which pointed out some inconvenient truths regarding Sen. Tester’s rhetoric, starting with the fact that Sen Tester supported and voted for the Dodd-Frank financial reform bill:

...Dodd-Frank vastly expanded the power of the CFTC. Lawmakers gave Mr. Gensler virtually everything he asked for and, according to Capitol Hill staff, even allowed the CFTC chairman to help write key provisions of the bill.

We would point out that those were Democratic lawmakers who passed Dodd-Frank on a nearly party-line vote in 2010 (two moderate Republicans from New England states voted for it.)

The WSJ article quite rightly points out (obliquely) that this futures trading scandal could raise the same issues about Sen. Tester -- i.e. was he “asleep at the switch,” and does he “need to go,” given that he and his party created the monster?

Indeed. It gets a bit old to have Montana’s Democratic Senators toeing the line set by guys like Sen. Dodd of Connecticut and Rep. Frank of Massachusetts for 4-5 years, only to have them busily obfuscate their records come election season in Montana. It gets even older to have our Montana press not asking hard questions, leaving it to a paper from New York City to point out the obvious. It’s not like Sen. Tester’s vote on Dodd-Frank was a state secret.

Actually, take a look at that last link again -- really, do... Maybe the Gazette wishes that particular column were a state secret. The 2010 Gazette description of Dodd-Frank has to be one of the longest and most overwrought descriptions of a bill in a “roll call” column we have ever seen in that paper. In fact, it reads like a Democratic Party press release, truth to be told. This was supposed to be objective “hard news?” We will only quote one passage -- again, go to the link for the full Gazette “news report” on Dodd-Frank:

Voting 60 for and 39 against, the Senate on July 15 sent President Obama a bill (HR4173) to enact strict financial regulations and consumer protections intended to improve the odds against further catastrophic breakdowns of the U.S. economy. Reversing decades of financial deregulation in Washington,... the bill addresses many of the reckless or illegal business practices and hands-off governmental policies that led to the investment-bank failures, taxpayer bailouts, savings evaporations, mortgage foreclosures, retirement cancellations and persistently high unemployment that define the ongoing Great Recession...

(Final question: has the recent financial crisis really been officially termed the “Great Recession,” with capitalization and everything, in the official newspaper stylebooks? Jus’ askin’...)

Wednesday, May 16, 2012

Montana legislative redistricting -- same song, second verse... ("Muskrat Love?")

It's Wednesday, and time for a little Montana politics.

It has been ten years in the brewing, but the kettle is beginning to boil a bit more briskly on that decennial exercise known as legislative redistricting. We have waxed eloquent on the subject before, here, here, and here.

Tom Lutey's article in today's Gazette peers into the process that is currently under way. Once again, just as a decade ago, the non-partisan staffers did their best in doing the legwork of drawing up reasonable boundaries that meet both the requirements of Montana law and the sniff-test of common sense. Once again, Republicans seem to be content with the results and once again, Joe Lamson (this time actually a member of the commission) has drawn up an alternative plan more favorable to Democrats.

While there has been no direct MH examination of the proposed districts or the details surrounding the process, one gets the impression that Democrats realized that they seriously over-reached ten years ago when they captured that redistricting commission, courtesy of the Montana Supreme Court's appointment of a supposedly neutral 5th member -- who wasn't. Back then, they completely threw out the primary working plan created by staffers (as well as all of the alternative plans) and substituted one drawn up by Lamson, one with gerrymandered districts. Take a look at the famous Senate District 22, that ranges from the Billings suburbs to the outskirts of Miles City, or the even more famous "Muskrat Love" Senate District 16. OK, so it was called the "Muskrat District" because of its shape, but the Democrats apparently did "love" it, so why not a little blast from the past? (No, the Captain and Tennille didn't record it first.)

The current working plan, which basically gets a "good enough" vote from Republicans, Lutey reports as being called the "urban-rural" plan. It mostly follows things like county lines, school district lines, and city council district lines. The clue that Democrats know that they aren't going to be able to get as much this time is provided by the fact that their proposed districts this time vary only by a few percentage points, whereas their plan 10 years ago was designed to get the maximum variation (5 percent either way, allowing Republican-leaning districts to be packed with 10% more voters than Democratic-leaning districts) when it was advantageous to do so.

Yellowstone County and Billings city officials spoke in favor of the urban-rural plan, which was similar to a plan the two governments drew up with help from the Billings Chamber of Commerce several months ago. That plan kept all legislative districts within county lines and generally kept Billings’s districts within Billings.

Let us hope that reason prevails and that the neutral 5th member this year is actually neutral. There is, no doubt, room to do some tweaking here and there to improve the working "urban-rural" plan, but if it is thrown out completely for Lamson's alternative plan...

The stakes are high, and not just for purposes of partisanship, since districts that reflect life as it actually is will provide better representation for the members of that district:

Connie Wardell, a School District 2 board member, said her school district, with a student population larger than the individual populations of 44 counties, needed lawmakers who weren’t serving constituents outside of the immediate Billings area.

“Rarely do schools weigh in, but part of the issue we have with funding now is that our delegation is pulled into other counties,” Wardell said. She supported the urban-rural plan for mostly keeping districts within county and city limits.

Tuesday, July 29, 2008

Charles Johnson on the Dem convention

For some entertaining reading, try this week's "Horse Sense" column by Lee reporter Charles Johnson. As always, it is an understated piece of art, just telling the facts without any commentary -- often more damning to the officious, the sneaky, and the silly than is the editorializing that passes for journalism in much of the main-stream media today.

We read about Democratic Congressional candidate John Driscoll saying "You're looking at a guy that will absolutely end coal burning. I'd shut it down in a heartbeat" and suggesting that there are other uses for the coal. Sure. But how many parents still put coal in the Christmas stockings of their naughty children? The market may be limited for uses that don't involve burning it. It didn't go well with the lip-service that other Democrats, such as the governor, were trying to pay to the coal industry. At least Driscoll is honest about his obstructionism.

We have the chairman of the Montana Democratic Party -- Dennis McDonald -- a California trial lawyer who moved to Montana and bought some cows. Perhaps whoever sold him the cows had a sense of humor, and threw in a gigantic cowboy hat with the deal, just to see if McDonald would wear it. And he does, everywhere he goes.

Without commentary and with a straight face, Johnson reports that McDonald made bold to ridicule "pretend cowboys" in the Republican party, comparing them unfavorably with our Democratic governor, "the real cowboy, the third-generation cattle producer from Geyser." McDonald singled out Denny Rehberg (a "goat-herder") and Taylor Brown (a "disk jockey for the Northern Ag Network.) Did someone forget, by the way, to tell McDonald that this is not a good year for Democrats to be making fun of goat herders? Maybe he didn't get the memo -- but we suspect he will, since a certain Presidential campaign seems not to have a sense of humor.

Last we checked, Denny Rehberg is at least as much a rancher as McDonald is, and he grew up in an Montana agricultural family. Taylor Brown was working cattle on the family ranch in Montana at an age when McDonald was probably goofing off in California. Taylor was working to serve the Montana ag community when McDonald was making a living by filing lawsuits in California (and pocketing more than a third of the plaintiffs' awards.)

But of course, the real irony (which Johnson leaves out on the table, unspoken, for everyone to contemplate) is the idea of Dennis McDonald being some sort of arbiter of who is and isn't a "real cowboy."

Moving on from fake cowboys like Dennis McDonald, there were other goodies, like McDonald citing Linda McCulloch's presence on a powder-puff football team as a job qualification for Secretary of State. And the governor making sure that the governor's office staff turned out for the convention to boost its meager attendance. And the fact that few Democratic state legislators bothered to show up.

Perhaps most amusing was the fact that Democratic AG Mike McGrath, who is running for Chief Justice of the Supreme Court, sanctimoniously said that it "violated the judicial ethics code for judicial candidates to attend political party conventions." His opponent, Ron Waterman (also a Democrat,) showed up and spoke at the Democratic convention, just as he had at the Republican convention (where he was warmly received, by the way.)

The amusement comes from the fact that the McGrath campaign had a huge banner sign up for him at the Democratic convention. Funny thing -- McGrath didn't have any presence at the Republican convention. It seems that Ron Waterman is the only one who is in a position to treat this non-partisan Supreme Court race with the dignity and, well, non-partisanship that it deserves.

Monday, July 14, 2008

"Net-roots Ninnies" -- and a note on Sirota

Note the quotation marks -- Montana Headlines isn't given to calling names, but we do enjoy quoting the title of the piece in today's New York Post by one of our very favorite liberals -- the very smart, articulate, and unflappable Kirsten Powers. She is a Fox News regular, and is one of the few people who can get Sean Hannity to be polite for a few minutes. And when she is subbing on the best conservative talk-radio program around, "Brian and the Judge," it is always a treat.

So why does Kirsten call the netroots folks "ninnies?" In short because in their obsession about Obama's recent flip-flop on FISA and other perceived transgressions against progressive purity, they are losing sight of the fact that they are, in the end, not terribly relevant to the Democratic Party's electoral prospects:

Newsflash to the netroots and the media (which seems perpetually confused on this issue): The netroots are not the base of the Democratic Party.

Overwhelmingly white, male and highly educated, they're a loud anomaly in a party that's wholly dependent on the votes of African Americans, women and working-class whites.


Ouch. Ms. Powers is of course right that this demographic doesn't provide a lot of the votes to the Democratic machine, but on the other hand highly educated white males have always played a disproportionate role in Democratic politics -- even before the netroots came along. It's all part of that egghead thing, or what John Kenneth Galbraith called the members of his "New Class" that were needed to run things in the modern world.

If you have a welfare state with a highly centralized government, there will always be a place for technocrats to make decisions, tell people what to do, and generally run things. Cf. Democratic voting patterns in university towns, in capital cities, and on the staffs of most news organizations.

But leave it to Kirsten Powers to be unimpressed with the idealistic take-no-prisoners attitudes she sees these days from the left-roots:

Grow up, net rooters: You're going to see more Obama compromises with reality, more shifts to address what the real Democratic base cares about. Don't even be surprised if he comes out with a plan to allow domestic oil drilling.

Drill, drill, drill? We can only hope.

_______________________

Speaking of loud anomalies, David Sirota springs to mind. A one-time quasi-Montanan now back in the big city, he is a sound and fury sort, proffering what are generally conventional leftward solutions disguised as pseudo-populism. So it was surprising to find that MH and Sirota were in agreement with something the latter wrote in today's column that appeared in the Billings Gazette.

Most of the piece is of the unremarkable "Accidental Tourist" genre, bemoaning the homogenization of American society. (It is of course all the fault of corporations and franchizing -- making one wonder if Sirota is advocating legislation to ban Applebee's.)

But he does take note of something very real that Montana Headlines, with its emphasis on state and local politics, can't help but decry:

...in every corner of the country, the discussion is almost completely national focused. Who will be the vice-presidential nominees? What will the latest scandal mean for the presidential candidates? How can Democrats or Republicans win the congressional election?

Now, even decades ago, in the politically precocious early days of a young Montana Headlines, presidential politics were all the rage with the general public, while local and state races were dutifully ignored just as today.

What is perhaps different is that the explosion of media sources -- traditional and alternative -- have dramatically increased the level of detail that a political junkie has about national races and issues that really didn't perhaps need a lot more attention. Which is, of course, the great thing about the blogosphere part of the alternative media -- left and right alike. Because it is decentralized, it allows both "net-roots ninnies" and right-wing ranters like MH the opportunity to draw attention to state and local races and issues that in the past would have been ignored.

It is unfortunately true, of course, that all too many posts in regional blogs like those found in the Montana blogosphere simply rehash talking points about national politics that have already been endlessly regurgitated.

But the possibilities are there for us to make Mr. Sirota happy by dissecting state and local politics -- so shouldn't we try?

____________

Update: Jay at LITW believes the above post to be "mean-spirited" -- the readers can decide for themselves. His musings are worth perusing, but there is one point in particular that bears comment.

He claims that concerns about FISA on the left are a reflection of civil liberties concerns, while saying that those on the right who supported that bill were primarily motivated because it was "our team's" idea.

The bottom line is that the final sticking point on the bill didn't involve high-flown ideas about civil liberties. It was retroactive telecom immunity from being sued at the plaintiff's bar. Supporting such immunity should be pretty much a matter of common sense -- after all, if someone was wronged by government intrusion into their privacy, violating principles of unreasonable search and seizure, who did the wrong? Pretty clearly it would seem to be the government that demanded the cooperation of the telecom companies, and not the companies who cooperated with what the government asked for, citing a time of national threat.

If bounds were overstepped, or if threats were over-stated, the fault lies with the government, and it is the government that should be punished within the constraints of the legal system. And it is from the government that anyone who has suffered loss should seek restitution.

There was one group, and one group only, who wanted the immunity stricken from that bill, and that is trial lawyers who hoped to make easy and tidy windfall profits from cases against telecom companies who would hopefully fold quickly in order to have it over with.

Not only would the wrong party be unfairly footing the bill, but we could be assured that they would have reason not to cooperate with, say, a President Obama faced with a future national emergency, demanding their help in gathering information about potential threats to the American populace.

It was perhaps wrong to characterize progressive furor over FISA as being a matter of "progressive purity," at least in an ideological sense. It was, at root, much more venal than that. It is well known that trial lawyers provide the backbone of funding for progressive politics, so the temporary intransigence of the left on retroactive immunity for telecom companies can fairly be seen as an act of simple financial self-interest.

Friday, April 25, 2008

Operation Chaos -- an alternative view

Most of what follows was originally written as a response to the Hammond Report post advocating a Montana "Operation Chaos" -- a response that was shelved for the time being (but saved, never knowing when a slow day might make it worth writing about.) Then, Chuck Johnson made the topic briefly famous today, and nothing else is on the burner right now, so here goes:

....................

Rush Limbaugh is wrong on this one for a number of reasons. He's certainly not thinking about what is best for Montana's Republican candidates or the specific political situation here in Montana.

First, Sen. Clinton is hardly the more defeatable candidate -- in fact, there's a strong case to be made that she's the more formidable of the two, so why help make that case to the Democratic superdelegates?

Second, isn't anyone else around here old-fashioned? Whatever happened to the idea (around which the Montana GOP caucus was designed) that each party has the right to choose its own candidate? There is something a bit dishonorable to an old traditionalist about intentionally meddling in another party's nomination process. The fact that it has been done before, by both parties, doesn't change that.

Third, does chaos (even if successfully produced -- a doubtful proposition) really work in our favor? Obama continues to lead, and the buzz of an active campaign continues to bring lots of money into his coffers. Democrats are registering in droves to vote in this contest that is dragging out. Are we supposed to be wild about that, and interested in perpetuating this endless Democratic voter registration drive? Whoever registers now is just more likely to vote for Democrats again in the fall.

Fourth, if Montana were to follow the trend from every other state in the region, Obama should by all rights win the primary here. Since Obama is the presumptive Democratic nominee, helping Sen. Clinton win Montana would only give Montana Democrats cover in the fall if Obama turns out to be as unpopular in Montana as the Montana Democrats already running from him seem to believe. They can just say, "don't blame us, we wanted the more moderate candidate!"

Finally, we have some important primaries ourselves. While Republicans are busy voting for Clinton, do we want Ron Paul to embarrass McCain in our own primary? Does it matter who we have facing off against Baucus and what kind of a campaign that Republican runs, even in the face of defeat? And don't we want Republicans to vote Republican even in uncontested primaries so those candidates will have that extra name recognition and "brand loyalty" when it comes to the fall ballot?

There seems to be a lot not to like about Operation Chaos -- even if one ignores the ethical sphere.

But then, Rush is the brilliant one. And Rush is interested in the big national race and the attention it gets him -- whereas the parochial Montana Headlines focus is on how best to get Montanans invested in our own statewide candidates, legislative candidates, and local candidates.

Ask any Republican running for office in Montana (including those in uncontested primaries) whether or not they want Republicans to go to the polls in June and fill in the circle next to their name. It would be surprising if any of them actually thought it would do them more good to have Republicans turn out in droves to vote for the Presidential candidate favored by the governor and his brother.

Saturday, January 26, 2008

Promoting dialogue with Native Americans; Burns replaces Bohlinger on McCain campaign (finally); Iverson debates McDonald

Chairman James Steele, Jr. of the Confederated Salish and Kootenai tribal council gave a engaging address to gathered Republicans in Billings. Listening, it was hard not to get the sense that something historic was beginning.

He pointed out that in his search looking for Native Americans who have served in Congress, he found three names -- all of whom were Republicans, ranging from Herbert Hoover's Vice-President to Sen. Conrad Burns's Senate colleague Ben Nighthorse Campbell from Colorado. He reminded the gathered Republicans that it was a Congressman from our party who introduced the bill that gave U.S. citizenship to Native Americans.

Not painting any rosy scenarios, Chairman Steele pointed out that the Montana Republican Party has a lot of ground to make up. But it is clear that we are entering a new era of Republicans engaging in dialogue with Indian Country in Montana.

Iverson could have invited a prominent Republican to give a red-meat rallying speech to the Winter Kickoff. That he did not, and instead invited his (and now our) friend Chairman Steele to keynote the meeting, is a testimony not only to Iverson's vision, but also to his serene confidence in a Montana Republican Party that needs no further energizing.

_______________________________


Some of the biggest cheers of the night at the final night of the Winter Kickoff came when Erik Iverson announced that Sen. John McCain's campaign had requested some equal time, introducing Sen. Conrad Burns as the new chairman of Sen. John McCain's campaign here in Montana. We appreciate the prompt response to the Montana Headlines appeal for a new McCain chairman.

There is a God.

Congratulations to Sen. McCain. We of course still want Lt. Gov. Bohlinger on the team, working to get Republicans elected, and as Chairman Iverson remarked tonight, while the Lt. Gov. couldn't make it to the Winter Kickoff to be with us this weekend, he will be invited to the summer convention and afforded the opportunity to speak and answer questions.

We'll look forward to it.

________________________________


Look tomorrow on KTVQ for a televised debate between Montana GOP chairman Erik Iverson and Democratic chairman Dennis McDonald. McDonald apparently heard that Republicans were in Billings having a good time and decided he wanted to get on Billings TV, so when Iverson caught wind of that, he challenged McDonald to a head-to-head interview.

It should appear on the KTVQ website soon.

Attendees were treated to a clip of the interview in which McDonald lamely tries to defend his previous press-release accusations that a Roy Brown contributor was a tax evader (false) and that Denny Rehberg's state director, Randy Vogel, was under federal investigation for involvement with Jack Abramoff (embarrassingly false -- even liberal bloggers apologized for buying into that one and ended up complimenting Vogel's handling of the situation.)

McDonald's response was blustering sound and fury, signifying nothing. And he maintained that both accusations were true at the time he made them. If McDonald thinks that his obfuscating non-answer will fly with Montana voters, he is gravely mistaken. This guy was a top-notch trial lawyer? Iverson had him for lunch.

Amusingly, McDonald showed up at the interview wearing a giant white cowboy hat.

Aptly, Erik Iverson pointed out to the assembled crowd that McDonald is a trial lawyer from southern California. Iverson, on the other hand, is a 5th generation Montanan who grew up on a ranch in the Sweetgrass Hills.

"If my grandmother were to catch me wearing a hat indoors anywhere -- let alone in a television studio," Iverson noted, "she would have bent me over her knee, even to this day."

It was the quotation of the night, and one that got a roar of laughter and applause from the gathered crowd at dinner, heavily leavened with good, solid, Republican ranchers. All of them were wearing their boots -- and all had a conspicuous absence of head-gear.

Playing rancher is a bit trickier than it looks.

Touché, Iverson.

Friday, January 18, 2008

Humor in the Gazette

It's nice to see that Mike Dennison has a sense of humor in his reporting. Dennison quotes former state Rep. Kevin Furey, D-Missoula, who protests that he didn't get his new state job because of knowing the right people:

Furey said he didn't get hired because of political connections and that he had applied for numerous other state jobs before getting this one. "This was the only one that I was even offered," he said.

In the very next sentence, the last of the article, Dennison does what a good reporter does -- just tells the facts:

Furey is married to Sarah Elliott, who is communications director for Gov. Brian Schweitzer.

We have part of the new Democratic guard, such as Sen. Jon Tester, claiming to take ethical standards to new heights in Montana. And then we have old-fashioned political back-scratching using government jobs.

Democrats across the state who want government jobs in Helena should be beating down the doors to run for the legislature -- its the new revolving door.

The sad part of it is that Furey's job is to be an "energy development officer." Missoula, as everyone knows, is a real hotbed of energy development.

Perhaps we're missing something here, but wouldn't a good energy development officer be someone with experience in energy development? Maybe Furey has such experience, but if so, it's a well-kept secret. We find it hard to believe that Furey is the most qualified person for such a task that the executive branch could find.

But then, given that virtually nothing has been done by this executive branch to promote energy development in Montana over the last 4 years, Furey will fit right in.

Oh, yes, a little wind energy development has happened (with interesting ownership connections, it seems,) and that's great. If only we could set up some thermo-sensitive turbines just outside of Helena to harness all the hot air being expended, talking about energy development -- now then we'd maybe be getting somewhere.

We will have to wait for a Gov. Roy Brown before Montana can start to realize some of our energy revenue potential that has the coffers of states like North Dakota and Wyoming over-flowing.

Saturday, November 17, 2007

Notes on the Kennedy withdrawal

It was quite a surprise to wake up this morning, grab a cup of coffee, and read that Bill Kennedy had withdrawn from the U.S. House race against Denny Rehberg.

We wish Kennedy the best in dealing with his health problems. And three cheers for this:

"I'd rather not," Kennedy responded when asked to expand on his health concerns...


Good for Kennedy. Things have really gotten out of control in recent decades with the press and public demanding to know the medical details of public officials or those running for public office. Excuse me, but it is none of the public's business whether the Secretary of Energy or a U.S. Senator is having hernia surgery or a colonoscopy.

There are some things that are on a "need to know" basis only -- and we don't need to know anyone's private medical issues. End of rant.

Second point: there will inevitably be those in the right-thinking world that will do a "yeah, right," in response to Kennedy's citing of health reasons. Yes, he was trailing badly in fund-raising and in the polls, but if the guy says health concerns are causing him to drop out... health concerns it is.

The reality is that it takes a tremendous amount of energy to run even a local election campaign. A statewide campaign for federal office against a multi-term incumbent? Certainly no room for any health problems.

Even a "minor" health problem can mean the difference between being able to run an effective campaign or not. It doesn't take much -- particularly when you are already spread as thin as Kennedy is. Being County Commissioner in a large county like Yellowstone County is time-consuming, and he sits on what sounds like dozens of boards and committees of various sorts.

Some time back, in the course of critiquing the level of discourse in certain missives from the Montana GOP state office about Kennedy and his campaign, we noted the importance of a Gazette letter to the editor by former Republican Yellowstone County Commissioner James "Ziggy" Ziegler -- most famous locally for being owner/operator of Stella's, an eating establishment of fine repute in downtown Billings. (On a totally unrelated note, Ziegler is to be commended for his personal efforts to eliminate the death penalty in Montana -- a cause that Montana Headlines has also advocated.)

The Ziegler letter has taken on a bit of the status of an urban legend in Billings. For one thing, there were the curious reports of the more than 6 months that it took the Gazette editorial page editor to get around to publishing the letter. (OK, keep in mind that this sort of story can get exaggerated easily -- but one could hardly expect MH to ignore it.)

Additionally, after the letter appeared, word on the county street was that Kennedy was suddenly showing up for a lot more of his County Commissioner meetings than he had been. He was probably also not happy at the prospect of having Republicans expect him to return a hefty portion of the coming year's salary -- which, as the letter pointed out, Democrats had demanded that Conrad Burns do after his first U.S. Senate race while a sitting County Commissioner.

The point being that if Kennedy felt some outside pressure to keep up with his County Commissioner duties (something reasonable to expect of him) while raising funds and campaigning for the U.S. House, it would take a lot out of him physically. As noted before, this kind of schedule calls for incredible stamina -- a candidate can't afford any kind of health problem under such circumstances.

So again, we wish Kennedy well with his health, and look forward to him devoting himself to his County Commissioner duties here in Yellowstone County.

And while this relieves a little pressure on Republicans for the time being, we shouldn't get too confident. The Democratic bench in Montana is hardly a shallow one at the moment -- and Sen. Baucus has enough money for three major state-wide campaigns. Rehberg will have a serious contender, and he will be well-funded. Who knows -- perhaps yet one more of the pressures on Kennedy was having party bosses tell him that they have a stronger contender that they want to run... so think about getting out of the way.

But undeniably this event does even the playing field a little, even if only for a little while. With Sen. Brown coming on strong against Gov. Schweitzer, that race is going to be a close one that will keep the governor busy. At the moment, both Rehberg and Baucus are essentially without competition, which means that Rep. Rehberg can and should be working tirelessly to raise money that will build the GOP infrastructure and benefit all Republican candidates in Montana -- just as Sen. Baucus has done in the past in his own lop-sided races.